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The Strategy Development Process

In this article, I’m going to outline the process for developing strategy. Many approaches to developing strategy exist but most can be reduced to:

  • strategic analysis - where are we now and how do we see the world changing
  • strategic choice - on the basis of our analysis, how can we gain sustainable competitive advantage
  • strategic implementation - how do we ensure systems, culture, structure, skills etc support our chosen strategy

In future articles, I will consider each of these stages (though in reality the process is iterative) in turn. For now, here is an overview.

Strategic Analysis

strategic analysis onion skinHere is a slide I use during my strategy training courses. I call it the onion-skin approach. We begin the analysis in the macro-environment. Even governments can exercise little influence in this ring. We are concerned with factors such as Politics, Economics, Socio-cultural,Technological, Legal and Environmental - or PESTLE (sometimes shortened to a "PEST analysis", which is perhaps looking at it a little negatively as this is also where we uncover opportunities).

I am not going into too much detail here, suffice to say, that during the analysis phase we will progressively move in closer to the organisation. So next we look at the Industry Analysis, using tools such as Porter’s Five Forces. Porter’s contention here is that it is the structure of the industry that determines profitability - understanding the five forces is absolutely fundamental.

The next ring is markets. In my strategy courses, I focus on how to identify attractive market segments using tools such as weighted matrices and the GE Matrix, combined with analysis of fit and risk. I touch on the Boston Matrix, but only to show it maximum disrespect - I find this a very dangerous tool (the only reason I cover it is because if one of my participants expresses ignorance of it after the course, colleagues and potential future customers will say "That doesn’t sound like a very good strategy course if you didn’t even do the BCG Matrix". Sad but true. Actually, it does serve another purpose - it generally sparks a healthy debate, and as I mentioned in an earlier post, effective strategy development depends on healthy debate.

And finally in the onion ring, we consider the organisation itself. This is the strengths and weaknesses section, though we need to be much more sophisticated then simply drawing a line down the centre of a page and putting S and W on each side. Everything is relative - a strength against competitor A may be a weakness against competitor B. We also need to be "aware" of the organisation - its culture, assets, processes, skills etc - in other words its resources. What is the best way that these can be leveraged - and how much investment may we need to make. I find the Value Chain Analysis of Porter can be valuable at this point, particularly in reinforcing the need for staff functions to support the primary activities in the organisation.

Since strategy is about the long-term, I believe that the Core Competencies approach of Hamel and Prahalad needs to be combined with a traditional product / market perspective. More on this in a later article.

Strategic Scenarios

At this point your head is likely to be exploding with information and ideas. Scenarios are a way of trying to bring together many factors and let them "play out". In other words, if X,Y and Z happen, what do we think the world will look like in 5-10 years’ time - and what place will we occupy in it. Scenarios are a great way to encourage creative thinking and they also serve the purpose of stimulating the Reticular Activating System. If you followed the link from an earlier post, you may already know what this is, if not and you’d like to know more about this, have a look at this article linking gorillas and competitive advantage.

Strategic Choice

Strategic choice is about the position we take in the market. The starting point, as for many things strategic, is Michael Porter. From a simple 3-choice option - lowest cost, differentiation, focus - we can generate many interesting discussions. In my strategy workshops, I focus much of this discussion on the importance of brand and culture. Why? Because there are the true foundations of sustainable competitive advantage - with emphasis on the sustainable. More in later articles.

Strategic Implementation

Notice how short the section on strategic choice was? This may be slightly misleading. As I mentioned at the beginning the whole process is iterative - as we analyze the current environment we will be developing thoughts about how we can win in the market place. And this in turn will shape our future analysis, which leads us to different ideas ….

And the same is true even during implementation. There is no beginning and no end. Our strategy needs to be flexible; the world changes. As the mathematician James Yorke said:

“The most successful people are those who are good at plan B.”

My focus in this session is on tools such as the Balanced Scorecard. Strategy needs to be:

  • prioritised - ie what’s really important
  • measured
  • communicated
  • focused on financial returns (whilst adhering to the organisation’s values)
  • customer-oriented
  • supported by processes - from operations through to HR
  • underpinned by people - culture, skills, morale

Research shows that happy employees = happy customers = happy shareholders. Leadership is still the critical skill!

Please don’t forget to subscribe if you would like to receive further articles covering strategy, marketing, finance, customer focus, business planning and all things related to achieving sustainable competitive advantage.

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Strategic Analysis - Organisation

The Value Chain Analysis of Michael Porter provides some valuable perspectives. I don’t intend going into any depth here. I simply want to focus on what I feel is the key aspect of VCA - the need for support functions to develop plans that integrate with and support the plans of the primary activities.

Thus, the HR plan should only have meaning in the context of how it supports operations, sales and marketing, in-bound logistics etc. The same with technology. Each of these functions must ask - how do I impact margin through my services to the primary functions?

An activity that I have found valuable in my strategy training courses is to ask participants to imagine that they are the HR director, for instance, and to present how they will support the other functions in their business.

Core Competencies

Hamel & Prahalad say:

“It is important that top managers view the firm as a portfolio of competencies, for they must ask, “Given our particular portfolio of competencies, what opportunities are we uniquely positioned to exploit? A core competence represents the sum of learning across individual skill sets and individual organizational units. Thus, a core competence is very unlikely to reside in its entirety in a single individual or small team.”

They expand:

“A core competence is not an “asset” in the accounting sense of the word. Core competencies don’t show upon the balance sheet. A factory, distribution channel, brand, or patent cannot be a core competence - these are things rather than skills. However, an aptitude to manage that factory (e.g., Toyota’s lean manufacturing), channel (e.g., Wal-Mart’s logistics), brand (e.g., Coca-Cola’s advertising), or intellectual property (e.g., Motorola’s ability to protect and exploit its patent portfolio) may constitute a core competence.”

core competencies - cart-before-the-horseThe idea is that the organisation should be developing competencies that they can later exploit in, as yet unknown, markets. An example is Amazon. Amazon’s core competencies were in logistics, CRM and managing data. The start point was books. But these core competencies are not limited to books - they can be leveraged into almost any market. Amazon is what is known as a capability predator. What’s important is not the product but the competencies.

It seems obvious now. But there is a sense of putting the cart before the horse. Normally one looks for the opportunity then builds the capability. Here, the suggestion is that you build the capability then seek the opportunity.

A core competence must pass three tests:

  • considered important by the target market (eg a clean showroom for Honda is a nice-to-have, but an efficient engine is a must-have)
  • competitively differentiated - unique or highly unusual
  • extendable - can be leveraged into new markets and products

The core competency approach is a valuable additional insight into how a firm may compete in the future and it encourages a longer-term perspective. It also encourages investment because the stark realities of a failure to invest become very clear. Hamel and Prahalad reserve particular scorn for what they term "denominator" managers; those managers who can cut costs but never increase revenues, who focus on efficiency not innovation and who slowly strangle a company through a focus on short-term ROI.

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Strategic Analysis - Markets

This part of the analysis is concerned with finding attractive segments in which we can compete. What makes a segment attractive: size, competitive position, risk, fit with exising business, cyclicality etc.

How do we bring all this analysis together? I like to use weighted matrices in my strategy development workshops. The process consists of identifying the factors that are important in winning in this sector - the critical market success factors. There should be healthy debate around these!

The next step is to ‘weight’ these. Each factor should be given a percentage weighting - the higher the percentage the more important the factor is. The total weightings must add up to 100.

Since this is a competitive market, we now score ourselves and our competitors (out of 10) on each factor. For instance, if a distribution network is considered to be very important it may get a weighting of 20%. Our distribution network is not good, scoring only 5 out 10. Our major competitor on the other hand has a very good distribution network and scores 8 out of 10. This process is completed for each factor for ourselves and our major competitors.

The final stage is to calculate the scores for each factor and in total for ourselves and our competitors. The weighting for the factor, 20% for distribution, is multiplied by the score, 5 for us, 8 for our competitor. This gives us a score of 1 and our competitor a score of 1.6 (20% is the same as 0.20). We do the same for every factor, then add up the totals.

We now have view of how a view of how competitive we are likely to be in a particular market, based on how important several factors are in achieving customer satisfaction and our relative strength. Sounds perfect!

But it’s all made up - we don’t know half of these things?

True. Most of the data is hardly scientific. But that is to miss the point of the activitly. The value lies in the discussion, not the scores. The discussion forces the strategy development team to identify what is really important to success in the market and highlights strengths and weaknesses. It heightens awareness and makes the organisation more sensitive to competitor actions and changes in the market place.(back to our learning organisation again).

And, finally, the lack of information argument fails on the simple question - "So how will you make the decision on where you will compete?" Any answer is usually based on some implicit understanding of the market that either falls down under rational analysis or uses the same reasoning as I have just outlined. The advantage of the weighted matrix is that the assumptions are explicit and it helps the strategy team to gain a real understanding of what is important to success.

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Strategic Analysis - Five Forces

Michael Porter’s Five Forces analysis helps us to understand why some industries are profitable and others aren’t. That’s industries, not companies. The two industries that Porter cites most often are airlines and soft drinks ("a licence to mint money".

Airlines are "among the least profitable businesses known to man". Freddie Laker, one of the pioneers of low cost flying once said that the way to become a millionaire was first to become a billionaire, and then buy an airline.

And yet over the the last thirty years or so there have been a steady stream of new airlines, many of which have gone bust. They are just ’sexy’ - but unprofitable.

Porter’s Five Forces model helps us to see why. Here is the a slide from one of my strategy training workshops.

stragegy analysis five forces model

Let’s look. at the forces that shape the industry. Firstly, suppliers. It is the airports that own the slots; you can’t fly if you can’t land and take-off. If you want to fly to New York, there are a restricted number of places you can land - all the power is with the airport. Similarly, there are few major aircraft manufacturers and limited competition means less pressure to lower prices.

On the buyer side, there is lots of information via the internet. There is little differentiation - the airlines cannot convince us to pay more, we simply want the cheapest ticket.

It is very easy for new entrants to come into the market - the technology is all generic (and run by the airports) and the cost of entry can be low by starting with flights between two cities and building slowly. There are no switching costs for buyers.

And all of these factors contribute to incredible competitive rivalry between the airlines themselves, some of whom face exit barriers and so remain fighting whilst sustaining losses.

Not a pretty picture and one that Porter argues is perfectly predictable from a five forces analysis.

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Strategic Workshops - strategic analysis - macro-environment

Arie de Geus, author of The Living Company, said:

"The only way to sustain competitive advantage is to ensure that your organization is learning faster than the competition."

Strategic analyis is part of this learning process.

To understand the macro-environment, we use PESTLE (see strategy development process article). Let’s consider some demographic data. I’ll use a UK example, though it applies to much of Western Europe and North America. Around 40% of the UK population is aged over 50. If I am a builder, how does that impact me? Well clearly, I should be considering building houses that match the requirements of older people - such as:

  • more bungalows
  • smaller (children left home)
  • support facilities
  • in-built electronic monitoring - eg a wrist watch type device that monitors blood pressure and pulse, alerting medical services when appropriate (the ambulance now arrives before your heart attack!)

Armed with this knowledge, I may choose to seek partnerships with medical technology companies. This is a simple example using demographics. Let’s stick with our builder. P is for Politics and this includes the extension of the European Union which opens up the possibility of acquiring highly skilled labour from eastern Europe at competitive wage rates - or expanding into other countries. E is for environment and lots of scope here for builders in how they build and how the built house is run. But let’s not forget the L - legal; there may be new health and safety legislation or restrictions on certain materials.

Arab Dhow

Arab Dhow

I once saw on the wall of a client in Dubai a poster showing an Arab dhow and under it the words:

"We cannot change the direction of the wind, but we can set our sails to take advantage of it."

Strategic analysis opens our eyes to threats. But I think the emphasis should be on opportunities. We should create a "positive crisis within the organisation" - a real sense of anxiety that we may miss out on exciting opportunities if we don’t move quickly.

An interesting example of strategic analysis and its power to transform how firms compete is The Long Tail by Chris Anderson. Here he captures the essence of his message:

"The average Barnes & Noble carries 130,000 titles. Yet more than half of Amazon’s book sales come from outside its top 130,000 titles. Consider the implication: If the Amazon statistics are any guide, the market for books that are not even sold in the average bookstore is larger than the market for those that are. In other words, the potential book market may be twice as big as it appears to be, if only we can get over the economics of scarcity."

Whereas department stores and one-stop-shops were once seen as the future, niche marketing is the current flavour.

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How to Develop Strategy

Many people have a notion that the answer to the question "How to develop strategy" rests in analyzing reams of market data, plugging it into matrices, applying a few rules and hey presto, out pops the strategy. All we need to do is follow the process and the wise words of the strategy gurus and we’ll be certain of success.

Not according to two of the leading strategy gurus, Hamel and Prahalad:

"They’re partly right. We don’t have a theory of strategy creation. There is no foundation beneath the multi-billion dollar strategy industry. Strategy is lucky foresight. It comes from a serendipitous cocktail."

Consider this statement from Henry Mintzberg:

"Strategic planning is not strategic thinking. Indeed, strategic planning often spoils strategic thinking, causing managers to confuse real vision with the manipulation of numbers"

He goes on to warn against: "costly misadventures caused by applying formal techniques, without judgement and intuition, to problem solving.”

You may have noticed I highlighted a couple of words there! Let me reinforce them with a few words from Bruce Henderson:

“Business thinking starts with an intuitive choice of assumptions. Its progress as analysis is intertwined with intuition. The final choice is always intuitive. Were that not true, all problems would be solved by mathematicians.”

Okay, enough of the quotations. The message is clear - intuition and judgement have a major role to play in developing strategy. This is not the same as saying that you just move forward with your strongest hunch.

We have to educate our intuition.

How? By collecting data, analyzing it, asking the right questions, creating new perspectives through the use of models and theories. What we end up with is lots and lots of ideas and possibilities. Recent research into how we make decisions has suggested strongly that our rational minds are not good at making decisions involving lots of variables. We are better going on gut instinct. And this is where intuition comes in to the question of How to Develop Strategy.

Which means that there is still a role for strategic leaders - providing you have the questions, models and theories to ask the right questions and develop superior insights and perspectives. Have a look at our pages on strategic perspective and the strategy development courses that we run.

And if you ever meet someone who is certain that their view of the world is right, just quote Bertrand Russell to them:

“The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts.”

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- is there any point when the world changes so quickly?

When it is sometimes difficult to predict what will happen next week, what is the point in looking forward five or even ten years? In such a dynamic world, isn’t strategy just a pointless academic exercise?

Well, as Michael Porter said, "No, no, no". Here is my view of why strategy is even more essential during times of great change.

Strategy is Position

Firstly, let’s be clear about what we mean by strategy. The purpose of a strategy is to gain a "position" which provides us with competitive advantage. For instance, we may decide to make ourselves more attractive to schools by gaining a greater understanding of their specific needs and producing products that meet these needs. This will also have the impact of making us less attractive to other organisations.

That is our intended position - our strategy. It tells us how we will compete, where our focus should be. What we now do to achieve that position is not the strategy - it is the tactics, the steps we take to achieve the strategy.

Our strategy guides us in the steps we should take - generally, get close to schools and invest in product development to meet the needs of schools. But we still have flexibility on how this is achieved. We can respond to radical changes in government education policy whilst our strategy, our position of focusing on schools remains unchanged. For instance, schools may be required to emphasise science over arts subjects, reducing demand for a large chunk of our product range. We adapt - our strategy remains the same, our tactics change.

Why is this so important?

Strategy enables managers to make decisions quickly - it sets the boundaries. Strategy is as much about what you don’t do as what you do. Managers at all levels of the business understand that the constants are: understand schools, develop and market products to meet their specific needs. It helps managers to make decisions about where resources should be invested, the skills required by staff, process design and so on. The strategy is like the guide rails in a bowling alley - it provides boundaries and direction.

In future posts, I’ll explore the strategy development process - how do you find your ‘position’?

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Welcome

How many websites have you bookmarked over the last ten years. One a week? If it was as few as just one a month, that would still be 120 bookmarks. And how many of these sites have you visited more than twice? If your browsing habits are similar to mine, the answer is probably very few. I have no doubt that the information is useful and I could probably benefit from revisiting.

But I just don’t have time.

Overview of topicsThe truth is that most of us want information in bite-size chunks and preferably visual. I don’t want this blog to become one of your lost bookmarks, so my aim is to keep the posts short, to-the-point, practical and visual. And to focus on content that you can actually use day-to-day.

The purpose of the blog is to improve performance - for individuals and organisations. If you click the image on the left, you will see an enlarged mindmap of some of the topics that I aim to cover over the next few weeks. Alternatively, here’s a list:

  • Strategy
    • why strategy is essential
    • how to develop strategy
    • practical approaches
    • guide to tools, matrices and models
    • why strategies fail
  • Marketing
    • brand
    • what is your brand?
    • brand and culture
    • online
    • why managers should blog
    • how to set up executive blogs
  • Finance
    • understanding financial statements
    • how to measure business performance
    • creating a cashflow forecast
    • what is working capital
    • shareholder value
    • how do managers affect share prices
    • how to build a business model
  • Communication
    • how to influence and persuade
    • essential negotiation tips
    • presenting with impact
      • presenting
      • using PowerPoint
  • Action
    • personal effectiveness
      • essential software
      • a workable systematic approach
      • managing multiple priorities
    • organisation
      • how to translate strategy into action
  • Miscellaneous
    • Books
    • Software
    • Websites
  • Thoughts
    • who knows?

So why not click on one of the subscribe buttons and get the posts delivered directly to you by email or into your preferred reader by RSS. You can unsubscribe at any time by clicking the link at the bottom of each post. Naturally, we promise not to pass on any of your details nor to send you any unsolicited emails.

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